What it would be like to deploy BP today:
Tech proven
16.4 billion today
Viability confirmed 20 years ago
Only need to resurrect the technologies
Most of it is very advanced
Kleinberg 11- Howard Kleinberg is a member of the graduate faculty of the Department of Public & International Affairs at University of North Carolina Wilmington. The author has a Master of Arts in the Security Studies Program from Georgetown University, Washington, D.C. and a Bachelor of Science in Electrical Engineering from the University of Toronto, Canada. He also has 25 years of experience in the U.S. Defense Sector, the Space Industry, and software engineering, March 1, 2011, “A global missile defense 'network': terrestrial High-Energy lasers and Aerospace mirrors part 1 of 2.” Fires , http://www.highbeam.com/doc/1G1-251954702.html
Brilliant Pebbles. The original space-based kinetic -energy kill weapon, Brilliant Pebbles was a critical component of the Reagan administration's strategic defense initiative program in the 1980s. Indeed, Brilliant Pebbles was by far the most mature of all the SDI weapon programs, and was ready for RDT&E as a déployable weapon system, back in that era. It was to have been deployed in large numbers in LEO to defend against Soviet ICBMs in their boost and midcourse flight phases, with some terminal phase capability inherent in the system, as well.
Contrary to popular misconceptions both then and now, the technologies underlying BP were entirely viable at that time, as was proven in the Clementine I lunar-orbiter and ASTRID flight test programs of the early 1990s. The original cost to deploy 1,000 interceptors was slated to be $11 billion in 1989 dollars; this figure would be $16.4 billion today. A constellation of this size is estimated large-scale ICBM attack from Russia.
The salient point of the Brilliant Pebbles legacy is that all of the relevant technologies for kinetic -energy SB-BMD were viable and fly able in the 1990s, some 20 years ago, and were ready for several years before that. The debate over the viability of a space-based BMD system was also effectively ended in the affirmative, that long ago. As Brilliant Pebbles' creators point out, producing such a defense today would only require the 'resurrection' of its technologies. Indeed, the relevant avionics, sensors and guidance algorithms have leapt ahead by some 5 generations or more since the original development work in the early 1990s, at least in the form of the current generation of U.S. ground-based KE BMD weapons. Brilliant Pebbles-like weapons would form the optimal basis for a first generation of U.S. space-based missile-defense systems, according to Pfaltzgraff and Van Cleave.
Brilliant pebbles feasible
Pfaltzgraff 9- Robert L. Pfaltzgraff, Jr. is Shelby Cullom Davis Professor of International Security Studies The Fletcher School, Tufts University President, Institute for Foreign Policy Analysis, April 3, 2009, “Boost Phase Missile Defense: Present Challenges, Future Prospects”, http://www.ifpa.org/pdf/Pfaltzgraff_Boost-Phase.Missile.Defense_Capitol.Hill-Marshall.Inst_3.April.09.pdf
Space-based defenses as well as sea-based defenses, and I would add the airborne laser, have boost-phase intercept capabilities. Yet space-based defenses have been politically the most controversial and therefore politically the least acceptable. As a result we have failed to deploy space-based interceptors that could destroy missiles and warheads in boost phase as well as midcourse and terminal phases. As we point out in the IWG Report, the United States had developed a missile defense that could have begun operating as early as the mid 1990s that included space-based interceptors known as Brilliant Pebbles providing for a layered defense against missiles launched from any point against the United States itself of its interests overseas. By the early 1990s, as a result of the technology investments during the preceding decade, the space-based elements were more technically mature and capable of rapid development than the ground-based missile components of the missile defense system then envisioned. The space-based missile defense based on kinetic energy interceptors would have placed heavy emphasis on boost-phase interception. It was a program that had survived numerous peer reviews, had been approved by the Pentagon’s acquisition authorities, and yet was curtailed by Congress in 1991 and 1992 and then canceled by the Clinton Administration. Despite this cancelation, advances in the commercial , civil, and other defense sectors since that time would now permit even lighter mass, lower cost, and higher performance than would have been possible with the 1990-era technology base. Advances in technology would make possible boost-phase intercept of even short- and medium-range ballistic missiles as well as ICBMs.
We have tech and it’s key, need plan mandates
Institute for Foreign Policy Analysis 6 – Independent Working Group on Missile Defense, the Space Relationship and the Twenty-First Century, 2007 report, Washington D.C., August 28, 2006
The benefits of space-based defense are manifold. The deployment of a robust global missile defense that includes space-based interdiction capabilities will make more expen- sive, and therefore less attractive, the foreign development of offensive ballistic missile technologies needed to over- come it. Indeed, the enduring lesson of the ABM Treaty era is that the absence of defenses, rather than their presence, empowers the development of offensive technologies that can threaten American security and the lives of American citizens. And access to space, as well as space control, is key to future U.S. efforts to provide disincentives to an array of actors seeking such power.
So far, however, the United States has stopped short of putting these principles into practice. Rather, the mis- sile defense system that has been deployed so far provides extremely limited coverage. It is intended as a limited de- fense against a small, rogue-state threat scenario. Left unaddressed are the evolving missile arsenals of – and potential missile threats from – modernizing strategic competitors such as Russia and China as well as terrorists launching short-range missiles such as Scuds from off-shore vessels.
The key impediments to the development of a more ro- bust layered system that includes space-based interdiction assets have been more political than technological. A small but vocal minority has so far succeeded in driving the de- bate against missile defense and especially space-based mis- sile defense. The outcome has been that political consider- ations have by and large dictated technical behavior, with the goal of developing the most technologically sound and cost-effective defenses subordinated to other interests.
A symptom of this problem is the fact that, in spite of a commitment to protecting the United States from ballis- tic missile attack, little has been done to revive the cutting- edge technologies developed in the 1980s and early 1990s – technologies that produced the most effective, least costly ways to defend the U.S. homeland, its deployed troops, and its international partners from the threat of ballistic missile attack. The most impressive of these initiatives was Brilliant Pebbles. By 1992, that initiative – entailing the deployment of a constellation of small, advanced kill-vehicles in space
had developed a cheap, effective means of destroying en- emy ballistic missiles in all modes of flight. Yet in the early 1990s, along with a number of other promising programs, it fell victim to a systematic eradication of space-based tech- nologies that marked the closing years of the twentieth cen- tury and still impedes the development of the most effective missile defense today. The current state of affairs surrounding missile defense carries profound implications for the safety and security of the United States, and its role on the world stage in the de- cades to come. Without the means to dissuade, deter, and defeat a growing number of strategic adversaries, the United States will be unable to maintain its status of global leader- ship. The creation of effective defenses against ballistic mis- sile attack remains central to this task.
Tech exists for Kinetic Energy Systems
Pfaltzgraff 8 – Dr. Robert L. Pfaltzgraff jr., President, the Institute for Foreign Policy Analysis and Shelby Cullom Davis Professor of International Security Studies, The Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy, Tufts University, December 15, 2008, “Space And U.S. Security A Net Assessment,” The Institute for Foreign Policy Analysis,http://www.ifpa.org/pdf/Space_and_U_S_Security_Net_Assessment_Final_Dec15_08.pdf
Over a decade ago, the United States had developed technology for light-weight propulsion units, sensors, computers, and other components of an advanced kill vehicle. This concept, Brilliant Pebbles, consisted of a constellation of about 1000 satellites that combined its own early-warning and tracking capability with high maneuverability to engage attacking ballistic missiles in all phases of their flight trajectory. Each pebble was designed to identify the nature of the attack, which might include up to 200 ballistic missiles; and since it knew its own location and that of all other pebbles, each could calculate an optimum attack strategy from its own perspective and execute an intercept maneuver, while simultaneously informing the other pebbles of its action. This operational concept survived numerous scientific and engineering peer reviews in the 1989-90 time period, including by some groups that were hostile to the idea of missile defense in general, and space- based defenses in particular. Still, because of persistent policy preferences, the opposition eventually gained the upper hand politically, and the program which had been formally approved by the Pentagon’s acquisition authorities was curtailed by Congress in 1991 and 1992 and then cancelled by the Clinton administration, which opposed space-based missile defense and sought to preserve intact the ABM Treaty.50 Thus, in a very real sense, political decisions overrode technological feasibility.
Although there has been no formal program to develop the key technologies further, major advances in the commercial, civil and other defense sectors over the past decade will now permit even lighter mass, lower cost, and higher performance space-based interceptors than would have been achieved by the 1990-era Brilliant Pebbles technology base. Thus, lighter weight and smarter components can now give to a kinetic energy inter- ceptor greater acceleration/velocity making possible boost-phase intercept of even short- and medium-range ballistic missiles. If the necessary investments are made to upgrade Brilliant Pebbles-type technology for the twenty-first century, boost-phase intercept from space will also be feasible against high acceleration ICBMs that would have exceeded the capabilities of the 1990 Brilliant Pebbles.51
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