The United States federal government should pursue a defensive space control strategy that emphasizes satellite hardening, replacement, redundancy and situational awareness


Space Race Inevitable – Chinese Perception



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Space Race Inevitable – Chinese Perception



[ ] Weaponization inevitable – Chinese perception
Hui 2007 - Research associate at Harvard University [Zhang http://www.wsichina.org/space/focus.cfm?)focusid=94&charid=1 Space Weaponization And Space Security: A Chinese Perspective Accessed June 24
China has seen much evidence to suggest the movement by the administration of U.S. President George W. Bush toward space weaponization is real. A number of U.S. military planning documents issued in recent years reveal the intention to control space by military means. In practice, the United States is pursuing a number of research programs to enable the development of space weapons, which could be used not only to attack ballistic missiles in flight but also to attack satellites and targets anywhere on Earth. Chinese officials have expressed a growing concern that U.S. plans would stimulate a costly and destabilizing arms race in space and on Earth, with disastrous effects on international security and the peaceful use of outer space. This would not benefit any country’s security interests. Beijing believes the most effective way to secure space assets would be to agree on an international ban on weapons in space.
[ ] Space militarization inevitable - Chinese officials perceive inevitability
Mulvenon,2007 - Received his PhD from the University of California Los Angeles[http://www.defence.org.cn/aspnet/vip-usa/uploadFiles/2007-04/20070415093803____kZR0e4.pdf Date used: 6-22-2011 Date publish: 4-15-2007 Rogue Warriors? A Puzzled Look at the Chinese ASAT Test]
7 On 8 February 2007, the Foreign Ministry added one more lawyerly element to their stock answer, asserting that the test did not “violate any international treaty.” 8 To its credit, the PLA gave the world warning of what was to come, but communicated the message through a sin of omission, not a forthright public statement of Mulvenon, China Leadership Monitor, No. 20 policy change. China’s latest defense white paper, released in December 2006, did not repeat Beijing’s standard mantras opposing the weaponization of space, as had previous volumes. In its 2004 defense white paper, China stated, “Outer space is the common property of mankind. China hopes that the international community would take action as soon as possible to conclude an international legal instrument on preventing the weaponization of an arms race in outer space through negotiations, to ensure the peaceful use of outer space.” In its 2002 defense white paper, China was even more strident in its call for a ban on space weapons, stating: “the international community should negotiate and conclude the necessary legal instrument as soon as possible to prohibit the deployment of weapons in outer space and the use or the threat of use of force against objects in outer space.” The 2000 and 1998 white papers also included similar language. 9 A possible reflection of the PLA’s new attitude about space weaponization was provided at a World Economy Forum dinner on 25 January by the Academy of Military Sciences’ Senior Colonel Yao Yunzhu, a polished English-speaker and well-known “barbarian handler” who often attends foreign security conferences as an official PLA representative. Yao told her dinner companions: “My wish is we really want to keep space as a peaceful place for human beings. . . . But personally, I’m pessimistic about it. . . . My prediction: Outer space is going to be weaponized in our lifetime.”
[ ] Space Race Inevitable - China perceives that weaponization of space is inevitable – ASAT tests prove
Hitchens 2007 – Director of World Security Institute’s Center for Defense Information [Thersea, U.S.-Sino Relations in Space: From “War of Words” to Cold War in Space?, cs5_chapter2.pdf, Accessed June 21, 2011]
Finally, recent remarks by senior PLA Col. Yao Yunzhu at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, who directs the Asia-Pacific Office at the Academy of Military Sciences in Beijing, lead toward the “mirror image” explanation: the Chinese and American militaries have come to the same pessimistic conclusion about the future of space and have decided to prepare for the worst, including a competition with each other. “My prediction:” said Yao, “Outer space is going to be weaponized in our lifetime.”13 She added, in an indirect allusion to the United States, that if there is going to be a “space superpower, it’s not going to be alone, and China is not going to be the only one.”
[ ] Space arms race inevitable – China perceives that it is inevitable
Jakhu 2010 - Institute of Air and Space Law, McGill University (Dr. Ram , with Cesar Jaramillo Managing Editor, Project Ploughshares, Phillip Baines (Department of Foreign Affairs and International Trade, Canada),), John Seibert (Project Ploughshares), Dr. Jennifer Simmons (The Simmons Foundation), Dr. Ray Williamson (Secure World Foundation). “Space Security 2010.” Spacesecurity.org. August 2010. http://www.spacesecurity.org/space.security.2010.reduced.pdf. pp. 119-167. Accessed June 21, 2011
Furthermore, he added that a US ASAT should be designed to temporarily disable, rather than destroy, an enemy satellite. Of further concern, in the fall, Chinese Air Force commander Xu Qiliang stated that it was imperative for the People’s Liberation Army Air Force to develop offensive and defensive operations in outer space, as a space arms race has become a “historical inevitability and cannot be undone.”87 In response, Gen. Kevin Chilton, head of the Pentagon’s Strategic Command, noted that the US military is keen to investigate “why they might want to go in that direction and what grounds might exist to accommodate a different direction.”88 Just days later, however, Chinese President Hu Jintao aimed to dispel any concerns that his Air Force commander’s comments may have raised by reiterating that China has not abandoned its longstanding opposition to the weaponization of space. Specifically, Hu noted that “China will unswervingly uphold a national defense policy that is defensive in nature and will never seek military expansion and an arms race.”89


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