Merida Good – Political Capital 1NC
Calderon will pass reforms vital to sustain Pemex – but he needs political support of the Left
Stratfor, Strategic Forecasting, “Calderon's Overhaul Moves Ahead”, 9-20-2007, Premium Service, http://www.stratfor.com/mexico_calderons_overhaul_moves_ahead)
The Mexican Congress approved the final … he is in a very strong position to try.
Rejecting Merida inflames the Left and undermines Calderon
Jorge Chabat, Professor – Centro de Investigación y Docencia Económicas, “U.S.-Mexico Security Cooperation”, CFR, 10-30-2007, http://www.cfr.org/publication/14594/usmexico_security_cooperation.html
As Armand points out, … clear that it is happening right now.
Pemex collapse causes a global recession
Kurt Cobb, Energy Writer, “Mexico and the First Peak Oil Mass Migration”, Resource Insights, 4-1-2007, http://www.energybuletin.net/28128.html
More than a third of Mexico's … and their desperation rise.
Global nuclear war
Walter Russel Mead, Senior Felow – Council on Foreign Relations, New Perspectives Quarterly, Summer 1992, p. 30
The failure to develop … in the 1930's.
Mercer Island CK – Affirmative – Air Force
Contention One: Way up high in the Rolie Polie Sky
Air Force operational readiness is tanked—we are fighting a ground war
with air power. Medics specifically have been in high demand.
McMichael, 07 (William, "Iraq Ops Taxing Readiness, Experts Say, How
Effectively Could U.S. Handle Another Threat?" December 2)
And, they can't win a unique disadvantage—the Air Force will
inevitably play a role in AFRICOM, its only a question of whether its
response is sufficient.
O'Conner, 07 (Seamus, Air Force Times, "AfriCom probably won't own
many aircraft," November 27)
Thus, the plan: the United States federal government should provide
all necessary resources to the Air Force Medical Service to conduct
medical readiness missions limited to humanitarian and civic
assistance and medical response to disasters under the International
Health Specialists Program in the topically designated areas.
Contention Two: We're the Swellest Kid Around
1) Medical readiness missions are critical to rapidly enhancing
competency for medics, which is a critical internal link to mission
success. Only the plan can create a transition to mobile footprint
teams that free up combative forces and solve readiness problems. The
alternative is multiple scenarios for nuclear crises and natural
disasters.
Carleton, 01 (Lieutenant General Paul, The Surgeon General of the
United States Air Force, "Air Force: Service a Privilege," January)
None of their troop level arguments are responsive—the medical
readiness of the Air Force can sustain rapid global mobility even with
a decline in forward-deployed troops. Medics are the first line in
elevating readiness levels.
Mitchell, 01 (Marguerite, Uniformed Services
University of Health and Sciences, "Medical Readiness of Air Force
Members Not on Deployment for Shortfall Deployments," Defense
Technical Information Center, May)
2) The International Health Specialists program is key to effective
leadership and military engagement—the plan is key to facilitating
successful military engagement around the globe.
Ward et Al, 02 (Jane, Colonel Kerrie G. Lindberg, Major Daniel
McNulty, Major Mona Ternus; former director and manager of the
International Health Specialist Program, administrator of the Surgeon
General's Tactical Action Team, individual mobilization augmentee;
http://www.airpower.au.af.mil/airchronicles/apj/apj02/fal02/phifal02.html)
Military medics are the tip of the spear in building security
partnerships and reduce the likelihood of conflict. Empirics are on
our side.
Carlton, 01 (Lieutenant General Paul, The Surgeon General of the
United States Air Force, "Air Force: Service a Privilege," January)
This ensures unimpeded air power access and basing in Africa.
Pre-emptive air engagement with Africa is
key to the sustainability of hegemony and rapid global mobility.
Hall, 03 (Brian, Colonel in the United States Air Force, Deputy
Director of the United States Joint Forces Command, Rutgers
University, Marine Corps Command and Staff college, September 4)
3) The Impacts:
A. Sustainable United States forward deployment prevents multiple
scenarios for nuclear conflict—prefer it to any other power structure.
All of their impacts are more likely in a world without American
predominance.
Kagan, 07 (Robert, Senior Associate at the Carnegie Endowment for
International Peace, "End of Dreams, Return of History," Policy
Review, http://www.hoover.org/publications/policyreview/8552512.html#n10)
B. Air power prevents global WMD conflicts
Khalilzad and Lesser , 98 (Zalmay and Ian, Senior Researchers – Rand,
Sources of Conflict in the 21st Century,
http://www.rand.org/publications/MR/MR897/MR897.chap3.pdf)
More extinction
Straits Times, 00 ["Regional Fallout: No one gains in war over
Taiwan," Jun 25, LN]
Contention Three: We ran out of Rolie Polie Olie References
Scenario One: Disease
Lack of health infrastructure in Africa spurs drug resistant strains
http://www.bd.com/press/newsroom/pdfs/3_HC_Infrastructure.pdf)
Extinction
South China Morning Post, 96 (Ben Abraham, One of the 100 Greatest
Minds in History according to Mensa, ", "Leading the way to a cure for
AIDS," P. Lexis, January 4)
Scenario Two: Bioterrorism
The US is uniquely vulnerable to bio-weapon threat dude to poor
training of military medical personnel
Defeo, 06 (Joseph, Captain of the United States Navy, "Joint Medical
Readiness: Are We Ready to Answer the WMD Threat?" March 15
http://handle.dtic.mil/100.2/ADA449697 p. 7)
Unconstrained bio-attacks cause extinction—none of you're impact
defense is responsive.
Steinbrauner, 97 (Senior Fellow at the Brookings Institute, Committee
on International Security and Arms Control, December 22, Foreign Policy)
The capacity to minimize the death toll in a domestic attackis
crucial- large casualties ensures a US response that escalates to a
nuclear war
Conley, 03 (Harry W., chief of the systems analysis Branch,
Directorate of Requirements, Air and Space Power Journal- Spring 2003-
http://www.airpower.maxwell.af.mil/airchronicles/apj/apj03/spr03/conley.html
The plan solves—only the IHS has the expertise in regional medical
threats and can build sufficient infrastructure
Ward et Al, 02 (Jane, Colonel Kerrie G. Lindberg, Major Daniel
McNulty, Major Mona Ternus; former director and manager of the
International Health Specialist Program, administrator of the Surgeon
General's Tactical Action Team, individual mobilization augmentee;
http://www.airpower.au.af.mil/airchronicles/apj/apj02/fal02/phifal02.html)
DOD medics have technical advances that are critical to containing
disease outbreaks and biological attacks—other actors don't stand a
chance
Carleton, 01 (Lieutenant General Paul, The Surgeon General of the
United States Air Force, "Air Force: Service a Privilege," January)
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