Japan Aff 1
NOTES 5
1AC 6
Relations are key to Asian stability – prevents conflict in Korea, Taiwan, Indonesia, and southeast asia – each can go nuclear – as relations wander the US MUST renew the alliance 10
Indo-Pak nuclear war will escalate globally and destroy the planet 10
Taiwan conflict leads to nuclear armageddon 10
Strait Times 2k (June 25, “Regional Fallout: No one gains in war over Taiwan”, Lexis) 10
Economic decline causes a nuclear war 15
Mead, ‘92( Walter Russell, NPQ’S Board of advisors, New perspectives quarterly, summer 1992, page 30 ) 15
Economic Costs O/W, Withdrawal Causes Alliance Chance 20
***GENERAL 20
***GENERAL 20
Troop Presence Causes Conflict 21
Troops Cause Costs, Shifting Asian Powers, Lack of Defense 22
Inherency 23
Inherency – Expansion 24
UX Trick 25
Withdrawal Inevitable 26
Occupation = Tyranny 27
***BASES BAD 27
***BASES BAD 27
Occupation = Regional Conflict 28
Bases Kill Okinawa Economy 29
Bases Kill US Economy 30
China Reaction 31
No Guam 32
***GUAM 32
***GUAM 32
No Guam - Infrastructure 33
Yes Guam 34
Guam Good 37
Relations Low 42
***JAPAN-US RELATIONS 42
***JAPAN-US RELATIONS 42
Inherency – Relations/Credibility 46
Closing Futenma KT Equal Relations 47
Futenma Key to Relations 48
Status Quo Kills Relations 51
Withdraw K2 Power Balance 52
AT: Change in US-JPN Relationship Bad 53
AT: US-JPN Relations End 54
AT: US-JPN Relations Bad 56
Japan-US Relations KT Stability, China Relations, Deterrence, Taiwan 57
Alliance KT Deterrence of NK, China 58
Alliance KT Regional Stability 60
Cooperation KT Stability and Terror 61
Alliance Solves US-China War 62
Solvency – Strong Alliances 63
Base Relocation Now 64
***REGIME CREDIBILITY 64
***REGIME CREDIBILITY 64
Removal of Futenma Key 65
DPJ Unpopular - Futenma 74
July Poll Key 75
Now Key 76
Kan Key 77
America Key 78
Population KT Credibility 79
Credibility KT Relations 80
Credibility KT Stability 81
Credibility KT Economy 82
Stability KT Security 83
Credibility KT East Asian Alliances 84
Stability KT Deter Chinese Aggression 86
Stability KT No Escalation 87
Stability KT Deterrence 88
Stability KT Social Welfare 89
Japanese Stability KT Asian Stability 90
Kan KT Japan-China Relations 91
Kan KT Economy 92
AT: Tax Hike Kills Credibility 93
Tax Good 94
Tax KT Economy 95
Kan Solves Democracy and Economy 96
APEC Reform Good 97
Energy Independence Good 98
Kan Economy Plan Good 99
Japan-ROK Relations 100
India Nuclear Export—Needs Public Support 101
India Nuclear Export Good 103
Upper House Win = Economy 104
Offshore Balancing Solvency 105
***HEGEMONY 105
***HEGEMONY 105
Heg Decline Inevitable 106
Heg Decline Inevitable- China Rise 108
Heg Causes Terrorism 109
Withdrawal KT Multilateralism 110
Peaceful Power Transition 111
Withdrawal = Offshore Balancing 114
Okinawa Not KT Heg 115
Heg Decline Inevitable 116
Heg Unsustainable 117
Multipolarity Inevitable 118
Okinawa Base Stops Multipolarity 119
Dugongs KT Bio-D 120
***ECOLOGY 120
***ECOLOGY 120
XT: Dugong On Brink 121
New Base Kills Dugongs 122
Relocation Kills Coral Reefs 126
Coral Reefs KT Bio-D 127
Coral Reefs KT Fishing Industry 129
Bases Hurt Environment 130
Relocation Kill Fishing 136
Pollution Kills Fishing Industry 138
Fishing KT Economy 139
AT: Strict Standards 143
Coral Reefs KT Populations 144
Population KT Bio-D 145
Ecosystems KT Bio-D 146
Ecology Kills Popularity 147
Japan is Aware 148
Okinawa Ecology Spreads 149
Okinawa Vulnerable 150
China and US Cooperating 152
Lack of US Progress kills Leadership 153
Violence Link 155
***PATRIARCHY 155
***PATRIARCHY 155
Prostitution Policy Link 156
Prostitution Link 157
Rape Link 158
Security Link 159
Power Relations Link 160
Militarism Link/Militarism = Dehumanization 161
Okinawa Patriarchy = Dehumanization 162
Dehumanization Turns Impacts 163
AT: No Patriarchy 164
Bases Make Areas Vulnerable 166
SoFA Prevents Justice 167
Justice System Corrupt 168
Troops Cause Rape 170
Must Remove Bases 172
Rape Accepted 174
No Help for Victims 175
Narrative 176
Violence = Patriarchy 178
Sexuality = Commodity 179
Prostitution = Patriarchy 180
Rape = Violence 181
Rape = Racism 182
Rape = AIDS, etc. 183
Rape = Stigmatizing 184
Rape Kills Okinawa’s Autonomy 187
Rape Kills Human Rights 188
Imperialism is Root Cause 189
AT: It Was An Accident 190
AT: Soldiers Will Be Soldiers 191
Economy Add-On 192
***ADD-ONS 192
***ADD-ONS 192
XT: Withdrawal KT Okinawan Econ 195
AT: Local Government Subsidies 197
I/L – Maritime Terror 198
Maritime Routes KT Economy 200
XT: Indonesian Security 201
XT: Japan KT Maritime Security 202
Okinawa KT Japan-Southeast Asian Relations 203
XT: Singapore I/L 205
XT: Thailand I/L 206
China Relations Add-Ons 207
Property Rights Add-On 208
Free Speech Add-On 209
Free Speech Prevents Wars 212
Free Speech Prevents Disasters 213
Japan Democracy Property Rights Add-On 214
XT: Property Rights 215
Property Rights Impact – V2L 216
Property Rights Impact – Gender Equality 217
Sea Turtles Add-On 218
Species Loss Impact 219
Sea Turtles Impact 220
Dugong Add-on 221
East Asian Presence Add-On 224
Terrorism Add-On 225
ME Pullout Add-On 226
Self Determination Add-On 227
XT: US Crushes Self-D 229
Self-D Solves Economy 230
***ANSWERS 230
***ANSWERS 230
AT: Bases Still Needed 231
AT: Troops Needed for Disaster Relief 232
AT: Japanese Rearm 233
AT: Japan Militarization 234
AT: Non-War Capabilities 236
AT: Economic Benefits 237
AT: Can’t Defend 239
AT: No Japanese Military 240
AT: Drawn into Conflicts 241
AT: Deterrence 242
AT: Deterrence/East Asian War 247
AT: Deterrence/Japan Prolif 248
End 249