Gulf War Air Power Survey



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Preparation for a Southwest Asia

Contingency, 1 August 1990
The introduction to this report defined logistics as “. . .plan­ning and carrying out the movement and maintenance of forces.” This chapter focuses on precrisis actions with emphasis on creating forces and prepar­ing for their sustained support in a Southwest Asia (SWA) contin­gency. Since air forces use complex weapon systems and are sustained from bases connected by lines of communication (LOCs),12 understanding air power logistics preparation involves examining the four components: forces, weapons, bases, and lines of communicationas well as planning for their employment in war. Preparation timeframes are relatively long, particularly for weapon systems, for which preparation takes decades rather than years. Because timelines are long, the historical horizon for this chapter stretches back to the 1970s and earlier.
The chapter is divided into three parts. The first part focuses on preparation per se. The second section describes planning for war and includes the planning process and the status of logistical plans for a war in Southwest Asia. The final part summarizes the results of late 1980s exercises and readiness assessments as a way of clarifying the prevailing perception of air power logistics readiness on the eve of the Gulf War.
Preparation
The introduction to the Planning report notes that planners viewed the Gulf as essentially the right flank of NATO and placed primary emphasis on a war with the Soviet Union. The 1987 USAF War and Mobilization Plan, in fact, defined the most demanding 1990 scenario for the Air Force as a worldwide war, centered in Europe, and involving the Soviet Union. Thus the U.S. force structure and resources to support it were oriented towards the Central European scenario.


Table 1 compares the number of U.S. Air Force aircraft in the inven­tory with the number that were actually deployed and with the number projected to be used in the SWA theater during a worldwide war with the Soviets. The point of the table is that, in terms of the overall numbers, the Air Force had prepared for a much larger conflict than the Gulf War turned out to be. For example, only fifteen percent of F-15 aircraft in the force were deployed; the remaining eighty-five percent were a source of spare parts through cannibalization, and a ready mainte­nance manpower pool and other resources were available (not to mention enormous fire power). As the Support report and later chapters in this report show, however, important imbalances arose.
Other reports (especially in the Weapons, Tactics, and Training report) dis­cuss the direct combat capability implications of Coalition air­craft and muni­tions quality. The issue of quality has important mean­ing for com­bat support as wellparticularly quality as it is demonstrated through reliabili­ty and maintainability (R&M). Published reports general­ly credit R&M investments during the 1980s with reducing the invest­ment needed in spare parts and other resources.13 Actually, sustained, successful invest­ment in R&M goes back much farther. Figure 1 shows the failure rates of USAF fighter aircraft as a function of the year of introduction.14 The F-15E, with not quite double the reliability of the F-15A, is a product of the 1980s; the F-15C and F-16 aircraft were de­signed in the 1970s. All of the later designs are twice as reliable as Vietnam-era F-4 series aircraft. As is discussed more fully in the mainte­nance chapter, the improved reliabili­ty permitted planned and unplanned operation for 30 days or more without significant maintenance and resup­ply.




Table 1

United States Air Force Aircraft

Inventory versus Quantity Committed to Gulf War





Air­craft

World­wide Inventory

USAF,

ANG, AFR




Planned



AOR

1 Aug 90



AOR

14 Jan 91


Prov­en

Force


Gulf War

Total


Percent of Worldwide Inventory in Gulf War


F‑4E

247













0

0%

F‑4G

113







48

12

60

53%

F‑16

1623







208

36

244

15%

F‑15

781







96

24

120

15%

F‑15E

104







48




48

46%

F‑117










36

18

54




F‑111

285







64




64

22%

A‑10

572







144




144

25%

AC‑130

20







4




4

20%

B‑52 (DIE­GO

GAR­CIA, SPAIN,



UNIT­ED

KING­DOM)



230







20




20

9%

RF-4

236







18




18

8%

EF-111

42







14

6

20

48%

E/H/MC‑130

104







21

10

31

30%

Table 1 (Continued)

United States Air Force Aircraft

Inventory versus Quantity Committed to Gulf War





Aircraft

Worldwide

Inventory

USAF,

ANG, AFR




Planned


AOR

1 Aug 90


AOR

14 Jan 91


Proven

Force


Gulf War

Total


Percent of Worldwide

Inventory in Gulf War


RC‑135

19







6

2

8

42%

JSTAR

IN DEVELOPMENT




2




2




E‑3

34







10

2

12

35%

TR‑1/U‑2

23







9




9

39%

KC‑135

633




2

194

12

206

33%

KC‑10

59







22




22

37%

C‑130

568







128




128

23%

C‑20

13







1




1

8%

C‑21

83







8




8

10%

MH‑53

41







8

5

13

32%

MH‑60

24







8




8

33%

TOTALS

5854




2

1117

127

1244

21%


Note: These figures came from several sources. The fourth column, figures for 1 Aug are from “The Persian Gulf War, an Air Staff Chronology of Desert Shield/Desert Storm, Volume on Desert Shield, p 5. The next two columns (Forces in the Gulf just before the war) are from the Statistical Compendium of this survey. The AOR forces are as of 14 Jan 90, the Proven Force forces are as of 19 Jan 90. The F-117 force went to 42 aircraft on the 26 of Jan. The B-52 force went to 36 on 19 Jan and 66 on 9 Feb. The figures for the planned European War, with the Soviets, are from the USAF War and Mobilization Plan dated 1 Jul 87, Volume 3, Part 1; specifically, the forces shown available for a war on 1 Oct 90 were used (pp e l 91-1 thru e l 91-40.) Forces were included if they were available on or before day 30. The figures in the Worldwide Inventory were provided by AF/PEI, the Programs Integration Division, Ms. Rita Johnson, 2 Oct 92.

Figure 1

USAF Fighter Aircraft: Type 1 Failures/Hour

Versus Year of First Flight

5


The 1970s after Vietnam have been aptly described as an era of putting rubber on the ramp while postponing procurement of support resources until later.15 That strategy was largely responsible for the air­craft inventory shown in Table 1. “Later” turned out to be the early through the mid 1980s, when the Air Force provided healthy funding levels for supplies. The results made the relationship between investment and capability abundantly clear. Figure 2 shows aircraft spare parts fund­ing for fiscal years 1980 through 1990.16 The absolute level of fund­ing is more important than the comparison between requirement and amount funded because in the early 1980s, requirements were computed by

Figure 2

Aircraft Spare Parts Funding FY 80-90 (BP15,WRM)

($ in Millions)

6


using a simple “flying hours times usage factor” method; later in the de­cade, capability-based methods were introduced.17 Coincident with the wave of spare parts funding were increases in war readiness spares kit (WRSK) funding and in funding for exchangeable repairi.e., the repair of broken spare parts (Figure 3).18 The impact of changes in spares and exchange­ables funding (both increasing and decreasing) is clearly evident in mis­sion capability rates (Figure 4). The roughly three-year lag time between a change in funding and a change in capability is also evident.19 Funding peaked in the 1985 timeframe; capability peaked just before the Gulf War. This is one of many indicators showing that Iraqi leadership chose a propitious time (for the United States) to initiate hostilities.

Figure 3

Exchangeable Repair Requirement/Funding FY 80-91

($ in Millions)

7

Figure 4



Tactical Operational Fighters Mission Capability Rates

8


There was a similar investment in munitions (Figure 5) where the majority of the funding was in 1985, 1986, and 1987. The invest­ment returns would prove to be vital to the supply of preferred munitions in the Gulf War.
The Air Force formally recognized the concept of Bases and Lines of Communication as fundamental to combat support doctrine.20
Bases are the sites from which operations are originated or sup­ported (or both), while the lines of communication (LOC) are the routes for transmitting resources between bases. Bases are the

Figure 5

Munitions Funding FY 81-93

($ in Millions)

9


critical junctures at which aerospace power is most depen­dent. For it is at the base that resources are concentrated in order to mani­fest combat power.
The basing structure in existence on the eve of the Gulf War con­formed to Air Force doctrine, which categorized bases as operational, support, or industrial. Strategic bomber bases and forward fighter bases

were examples of operational bases.21 Operational bases did not sustain themselves indefinitely, but had to be supported by the other two catego­ries of bases through the lines of communication. The Air Force active basing structure as of August 1990 is shown in Table 2.
Table 2

Air Force Active Basing Structure

Area

Bases

Comment

CONUS

97

Includes 5 Air Logistics Cen­ters

Europe

26

Included Support Group Eu­rope (SGE) at RAF Kemble which pro­vided some industri­al type sup­port to the area bases (Kemble closed October 1990)

Southeast Asia

8




South and Central America

1

Howard AFB

Southwest Asia

0

Diego Garcia was a British installa­tion with a U.S. Navy cadre.

Pacific

9

Includes 2 in Hawaii and Kadena which provides some industrial type support to the bases in the area.

Atlantic area

2

Includes Thule and Lajes



It should be clear from Table 2 that the extant basing structure was a prod­uct of the Cold War, with most of the bases either in Europe or in the United States proper. Although the basing structure was rich, it was substantially in the wrong place to support a conflict in Southwest Asia. U.S. Air Force, Central Command (USCENTAF) had identified 14 potential operational base locations within the area of responsibility (AOR) with a

capability to support a population of approximately 30,000 person­nel.22 All, however, were just that: potential locations. By comparison, there were 9 in-place U.S. air bases in the Pacific, 26 (some of which were in the process of being closed) in Europe, 2 in the Atlantic region, and one major base in Panama.23
Although no U.S. operational facilities were located in SWA, numer­ous facili­ties had been developed according to U.S. standards but used by Saudi Defense forces or for civilian purposes. The primary Saudi airbases and air logistics centers were built or augmented largely through long-stand­ing security assistance relationships or with the backing of U.S. fund­ing.24 Dhahran was even used during World War II as a re­sup­ply point for U.S. forces in Asia.25 The U.S. Army Corps of Engi­neers re­built the Dhahran Airfield in 1956 and constructed a civil terminal in 1961.26 A formal agreement that the Corps would furnish certain support for the Ministry of Defense and Aviation (MODA) was executed in 1965 and is still in existence at the time of this writing.27 The agree­ment paved the way for construction of the King Faisal and the King Abdul Aziz Military Cantonments and King Khalid Military City. Other key projects complet­ed under this agreement included separate headquar­ters for the Royal Saudi Air Force and MODA, the port at Ras al Mishab, and several schools.28 A network of other facilities and bare base set­ups, too lengthy to enumerate, were constructed as part of an overall Saudi de­fense pro­gram. The details and exis­tence of some of the facili­ties were un­known to the United States at the time of the Gulf War, and planning factors were not accurate for some of the known facilities.29
Although the United States did not have large, established bases in the AOR, it did have contingency sites, used largely by the U.S. Navy. A small U.S. Middle East Task force had been established at Seeb, Oman, since the 1940s, but it and other Navy activities were fairly low-visibility operations.30 Although not in the immediate vicinity, Diego Garcia was a prominent toe-hold in the region. Leasing facilities on the island from the British beginning in 1965 enabled the United States to build runways suitable for B-52 and C-5 operations as well as docks that accommodated prepositioned ships.31
The Air Force described support bases somewhat tautologically as representing the “depth of combat support activity.” Air logistics centers, program offices and laboratories, headquarters, ports, and training centers were considered support bases.32 In 1990, Air Force Systems Command (AFSC) designed and acquired aerospace vehicles and systems. Air logistics centers (ALCs) were responsible for supply, repair, distribution, and sustain­ing engineering under the direction of Air Force Logistics Command (AFLC). The Miliary Airlift Command (MAC) was responsible for peace­time management of various aerial ports worldwide,33 while the training centers were managed by Air Training Command (ATC).

AFLC and its ALCs pro­vid­ed supplemental logis­tics support to the opera­tional com­mands. ALCs re­leased materiel to base supply (thought of as a whole­sale transaction); in turn, base supply released the materiel to con­suming organiza­tions on base (retail). AFLC de­fined re­quirements for wea­pons sys­tems sup­port and obtained resourc­es from the national industri­al base. During the decade before the Gulf War, AFLC made organizational changes and signifi­cant investments to better serve the needs of combat and support forces. AFLC had com­bined its heavy maintenance organi­zations with buying agencies and those that pro­vided technical sup­port. This “inte­grated” manage­ment ap­proach was intended to ensure that all logis­tics needs were consid­ered for a particular ai­rcraft type; one indi­vidu­al for each major system was accountable for ensur­ing integration.34
During the 1980s, AFLC invested over $130 million in air­craft mainte­nance facil­ities. At Warner Robins AL­C, new hangars were con­structed for performance of heavy maintenance and modification on C‑141B aircraft. The new construction en­abled aircraft re­pairs around the clock during the Gulf War. Expansion of engine overhaul facilities at San Anto­nio and Oklahoma City expedited Gulf War aircraft engine over­haul.35
Two air logistics support bases were located in the AOR. The first, called PM-SANG, resulted from a U.S. Air Force-sponsored program to help the Saudi Air National Guard (SANG) develop an industrial-level ALC similar in function to Air Force ALCs.36 The second, the Defense Fuel Supply Point in Bahrain, was managed by the Defense Logistics Agency. The next nearest industrial-level support base to the AOR was RAF Kemble in the United Kingdom. It was home base for the European Distribution System (EDS), which routed high-priority cargo through the European Theater. RAF Kemble was in the process of being closed.

The final type of base, the national “industrial base,” included gov­ernment and private research institutions, industrial plants, transporta­tion and communications systems, the civilian labor force, and raw materi­als.37 The industrial bases of the United States, its allies, and SWA coun­tries were favorably postured to support a gulf war.38 SWA coun­tries had rich, oil-based econo­mies; NATO Allies had a high level of pre­pared­ness; and Japan was a major provid­er of important tech­nologies.39
Tying the bases together in peace and war were lines of communica­tion.40 Air Force Combat Support Doctrine identified four LOC types: land, sea, air, and space.41 Two LOC types, sea and air, were part of a mo­bility triad of airlift, sealift, and prepositio­ning.42
After World War II, the primary strategic sealift mission was to move men and equip­ment to Europe rapidly for defense against a Sovi­et-War­saw Pact attack. Sealift was a Navy responsibili­ty, and sealift in sup­port of the central front was to have been provided by over 600 NATO mer­chant vessels combined with the U.S. mer­chant fleet of 578 major ships (as of 1978). On the eve of the Gulf War, however, this figure had dropped to 367 active ships despite an investment of $7 billion in sealift during the 1980s.43 As a result, the goal set for sealift in moving materiel to the AOR would be difficult to achieve, given the decline of capabilities.44
Sealift was grouped into three catego­ries: prepositioned, surge, and resupply. Assets prepositioned in ships close to the conflict al­lowed for near-immediate access, while surge shipping allowed for the move­ment of most of the equipment and initial sustain­ing supplies from the conti­nental United States (CONUS). In resupply shipping, where the sea lines of communi­ca­tion (SLOC) figured promi­nently, ship­ments fol­lowed surge shipping to provide sustainment stocks at rates determined by growth of force levels.45
The Mili­tary Sealift Command (MSC) operat­ed peace­time shipping and provided the nucleus of sealift capabili­ty. The Sealift Readiness Pro­gram (SRP) was a volun­tary commit­ment of some carriers to contin­gencies. During emer­gen­cies, the President could autho­rize the Secretary of Trans­porta­tion to draw on additional U.S. flag shipping for crisis or wartime needs. The next source of sup­port beyond the MSC and U.S. charter assets was the Ready Reserve Force (RRF) ships. The Maritime Administ­ration managed the RRF for the U.S. Navy. The force was part of the National De­fense Reserve Fleet (NDRF), and its assets were catego­rized in incremental readiness sta­tuses of five, ten, or twenty days notice. RRF ships were acti­vated by a request from the Navy to the Maritime Ad­ministra­tion.
There were two other sources of sealift. The first, the afore­men­tioned 600-ship NATO pool, was man­aged by the NATO Nation­al Ship­ping Au­thority, which was autho­rized to reallocate ships among NATO member na­tions. The second was called the “Effective U.S.-Con­trolled Fleet” ships. These ships were owned by U.S. corpora­tions although registered under the flags of Liberia, Panama, Hon­duras, and the Baha­mas. They were available to the United States because the countries of registry did not have laws precluding the requisi­tioning of ships.46
The air lines of communications were an Air Force responsibil­i­ty through its Military Airlift Com­mand.47 They were designed to “close”48 first but with a lesser through­­put capacity than sealift. The 1981 Con­gressionally Mandated Mobility Study (CMMS) estab­lished an airlift goal of 66 million ton-miles per day, which repre­sented a target objec­tive for effectively executing four specific warfighting scenarios developed in conjunction with the study.49 In 1987, consider­ing all avail­able airlift (including the Civil Reserve Air Fleet, dis­cussed below), only 48 to 51 million ton-miles per day were achiev­able.50 Moreover, the CMMS point­ed out that one-third to one-fifth of the needed airlift would not be avail­able for the first fifteen days for any of the four sce­narios analyzed.51 In light of the diminishing Soviet threat, the Secre­tary of Defense revised the goal to 48 million ton-miles per day in April 1990. The new goal was not incorpo­rated into long-range planning efforts before the Gulf War but made capability and requirements essen­tially the same.52
T­he Civil Re­serve Air Fleet (CRAF) was a significant part of airlift. When Desert Shield began, CRAF com­prised five segments: long-range international, short-range international, aero­medical evacua­tion, domestic, and Alaskan. CRAF was further orga­nized into three stages that could be acti­vated increme­ntally to sup­port DOD airlift require­ments. The succes­sive stages, each with an in­creasingly larger number of aircraft, were intended to enable the Commander in Chief Military Airlift Com­mand (CINCMAC) to tailor the size and com­position of the strategic airlift force to meet expanding transportation require­ments.53
CINCMAC was autho­rized to activate CRAF Stage I. Upon activa­tion, Stage I carriers had twenty-four hours to re­spond to HQ MAC tasking. 54 Stage II, which the Secretary of Defense was authorized to activate, had 177 aircraft enrolled. It was to augment MAC organic aircraft for the next higher level of emer­gency. Stage II carri­ers also had twenty-four hours to re­spond to airlift tasking. Stage III had 506 commercial aircraft at the end of fiscal 1990. Follow­ing a Stage III call-up, the com­mercial carriers had forty-eight hours to begin supporting DOD airlift require­ments. Stage III would only be activat­ed “short of a defense orient­ed national emergency” as determined by the President or the Congress. Even with­out activat­ing any stage of the CRAF, member air­lines often volunteered aircraft when military airlift require­ments became espe­cially great. MAC paid for these flights using MAC uniform negoti­ated rates.55 Civil air carri­ers electing to participate committed varying num­bers of their aircraft to the CRAF, some­times in return for a propor­tionate share of DOD peace­time airlift contracts. If the entire CRAF had been activated in late 1990 to support mili­tary transporta­tion require­ments during a major national emergency, its aircraft would have formed more than thirty-two percent of MAC's cargo transport capa­bility and ninety-three percent of the Command's passenger airlift.56
On 2 Au­gust 1990, the day Iraq invad­ed Kuwait, MAC's stra­tegic aircrews avail­able for mission tasking were as shown in Table 4.57 As can be seen, al­most half of the stra­te­gic airlift air­crews originat­ed from the re­serves.


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