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Table A.3. 122 cases of substate conflict contagion
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Page | 3/18 | Date | 30.04.2017 | Size | 1.24 Mb. | | #16926 |
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Table A.3. 122 cases of substate conflict contagion
State A (sender state)
|
State B (receiver state)
|
Year
|
Bolivia
|
Paraguay
|
1947
|
Colombia
|
Peru
|
2007
|
Colombia
|
Venezuela
|
1982
|
Cuba
|
Colombia
|
1964
|
Cuba
|
Dominican Republic
|
1965
|
Cuba
|
Guatemala
|
1965
|
Cuba
|
Peru
|
1965
|
Cuba
|
Venezuela
|
1962
|
Guatemala
|
Mexico
|
1994
|
Nicaragua
|
El Salvador
|
1979
|
Uruguay
|
Argentina
|
1974
|
Azerbaijan
|
Russia
|
1994
|
Bosnia-Herzegovina
|
Serbia
|
1998
|
Croatia
|
Serbia
|
1998
|
Georgia
|
Russia
|
1994
|
Romania
|
Moldova
|
1992
|
Russia
|
Georgia
|
2004
|
Serbia
|
Bosnia-Herzegovina
|
1992
|
Serbia
|
Bosnia-Herzegovina
|
1993
|
Serbia
|
Croatia
|
1992
|
Serbia
|
Macedonia
|
2001
|
State A (sender state)
|
State B (receiver state)
|
Year
|
Angola
|
Congo-Kinshasa
|
1977
|
Angola
|
Congo-Kinshasa
|
1996
|
Burkina Faso
|
Liberia
|
1989
|
Burkina Faso
|
Sierra Leone
|
1991
|
Burundi
|
Congo-Kinshasa
|
1996
|
Chad
|
Mali
|
1990
|
Chad
|
Niger
|
1991
|
Chad
|
Niger
|
1996
|
Chad
|
Niger
|
2007
|
Côte D’Ivoire
|
Niger
|
2007
|
Congo-Kinshasa
|
Burundi
|
1965
|
Congo-Kinshasa
|
Uganda
|
1971
|
Ethiopia
|
Djibouti
|
1991
|
Ethiopia
|
Eritrea
|
1997
|
Ethiopia
|
Somalia
|
1978
|
Ethiopia
|
Sudan
|
1983
|
Ghana
|
Togo
|
1986
|
Guinea-Bissau
|
Guinea
|
2000
|
Guinea-Bissau
|
Nigeria
|
2004
|
Liberia
|
Côte D’Ivoire
|
2002
|
Liberia
|
Gambia
|
1981
|
Liberia
|
Guinea
|
2000
|
State A (sender state)
|
State B (receiver state)
|
Year
|
Liberia
|
Guinea-Bissau
|
1998
|
Liberia
|
Niger
|
2007
|
Liberia
|
Nigeria
|
2004
|
Liberia
|
Sierra Leone
|
1991
|
Mali
|
Niger
|
1991
|
Morocco
|
Mali
|
1990
|
Niger
|
Mali
|
2007
|
Rwanda
|
Burundi
|
1991
|
Rwanda
|
Congo-Kinshasa
|
1996
|
Senegal
|
Guinea-Bissau
|
1998
|
Sierra Leone
|
Guinea
|
2000
|
Sierra Leone
|
Nigeria
|
2004
|
Somalia
|
Djibouti
|
1991
|
Somalia
|
Ethiopia
|
1994
|
Somalia
|
Ethiopia
|
1995
|
South Africa
|
Angola
|
1975
|
South Africa
|
Comoros
|
1989
|
Sudan
|
Eritrea
|
1997
|
Sudan
|
Ethiopia
|
1964
|
Sudan
|
Ethiopia
|
1976
|
Sudan
|
Ethiopia
|
1977
|
Sudan
|
Ethiopia
|
1995
|
State A (sender state)
|
State B (receiver state)
|
Year
|
Sudan
|
Uganda
|
1971
|
Uganda
|
Congo-Kinshasa
|
1996
|
Uganda
|
Rwanda
|
1990
|
Zimbabwe
|
Mozambique
|
1977
|
Zimbabwe
|
South Africa
|
1981
|
Iraq
|
Iran
|
1966
|
Iraq
|
Iran
|
1979
|
Iraq
|
Turkey
|
1984
|
Israel
|
Iran
|
1979
|
Israel
|
Iraq
|
1958
|
Israel
|
Iraq
|
2004
|
Israel
|
Lebanon
|
1958
|
Israel
|
Lebanon
|
1975
|
Israel
|
Lebanon
|
1982
|
Israel
|
Turkey
|
1984
|
Israel
|
Turkey
|
1991
|
Lebanon
|
Iraq
|
1958
|
Lebanon
|
Israel
|
1990
|
Lebanon
|
Syria
|
1979
|
North Yemen
|
South Yemen
|
1986
|
Afghanistan
|
Pakistan
|
1990
|
Afghanistan
|
Pakistan
|
2004
|
State A (sender state)
|
State B (receiver state)
|
Year
|
Afghanistan
|
Pakistan
|
2007
|
Afghanistan
|
Tajikistan
|
1992
|
Afghanistan
|
Uzbekistan
|
1999
|
Burma
|
India
|
1956
|
Burma
|
India
|
1982
|
Burma
|
India
|
1990
|
Cambodia
|
Indonesia
|
1990
|
Cambodia
|
Thailand
|
1974
|
Cambodia
|
Thailand
|
2003
|
China
|
Burma
|
1948
|
China
|
Burma
|
1949
|
China
|
Burma
|
1959
|
China
|
Burma
|
1961
|
China
|
India
|
1948
|
China
|
Laos
|
1959
|
China
|
Malaysia
|
1963
|
China
|
South Vietnam
|
1955
|
India
|
Bangladesh
|
1975
|
India
|
Burma
|
1948
|
India
|
Nepal
|
1996
|
India
|
Pakistan
|
1990
|
Indonesia
|
Thailand
|
2003
|
State A (sender state)
|
State B (receiver state)
|
Year
|
Laos
|
Thailand
|
1974
|
Malaysia
|
Thailand
|
1974
|
Pakistan
|
Afghanistan
|
1978
|
Pakistan
|
India
|
1978
|
Pakistan
|
India
|
1982
|
Pakistan
|
India
|
1990
|
Philippines
|
Thailand
|
2003
|
South Vietnam
|
Cambodia
|
1967
|
South Vietnam
|
Laos
|
1959
|
South Vietnam
|
Thailand
|
1974
|
Sri Lanka
|
India
|
1990
|
Tajikistan
|
Uzbekistan
|
1999
|
Uzbekistan
|
Pakistan
|
2007
|
Table A.4. Frequency of substate conflict contagion by decade
Decade
|
Possible Contagion Cases (Directed Dyad-Years)
|
Actual Contagion Cases
|
Frequency
|
1940s (from 1946)
|
322
|
5
|
1.55%
|
1950s
|
1,292
|
8
|
0.62%
|
1960s
|
2,307
|
11
|
0.48%
|
1970s
|
3,018
|
21
|
0.70%
|
1980s
|
4,195
|
13
|
0.31%
|
1990s
|
6,099
|
43
|
0.71%
|
2000s (to 2007)
|
4,131
|
21
|
0.51%
|
Total
|
21,364
|
122
|
0.57%
|
Cold War
(1946-1989)
|
11,134
|
58
|
0.52%
|
Post-Cold War
(1990-2007)
|
10,230
|
64
|
0.63%
|
—
Table A.5. Frequency of substate conflict contagion by State B region
State B Region
|
Possible Contagion Cases (Directed Dyad-Years)
|
Actual Contagion Cases
|
Frequency
|
North America / Western Europe
|
821
|
0
|
0.00%
|
Latin America
|
2,857
|
11
|
0.39%
|
Eastern Europe / Former Soviet Union (except Central Asia)
|
1,358
|
10
|
0.74%
|
Sub-Saharan Africa
|
8,878
|
49
|
0.55%
|
Middle East / North Africa
|
2,668
|
15
|
0.56%
|
Asia (including FSU Central Asia)
|
4,782
|
37
|
0.77%
|
Total
|
21,364
|
122
|
0.57%
|
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