Request for more space cooperation, us policy prevents any bilateral exchange



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Key to solve warming

US relations key to cooperation on Climate Change


Atlantic Council in 13 (“China-US Cooperation: Key to the Global Future” Atlantic Council BRENT SCOWCROFT CENTER ON INTERNATIONAL SECURITY Published: September 2013; Chinese Members • Chu Shulong, Deputy Director, Institute of International Strategic and Development Studies, Tsinghua University • Da Wei, Director, Institute of American Studies, China Institutes of Contemporary International Relations • Du Lan, Assistant Research Fellow, Department of American Studies, China Institute of International Studies • Huang Ping, Director General, Institute of American Studies, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences • Jin Canrong, Professor and Associate Dean, School of International Studies, Renmin University of China • Liu Qing, Associate Research Fellow, Department of American Studies, China Institute of International Studies • Qu Xing, President, China Institute of International Studies • Ruan Zongze, Vice President, China Institute of International Studies • Wang Fan, Director, Institute of International Relations, China Foreign Affairs University • Wang Yizhou, Associate Dean, School of International Studies, Peking University • Zhao Minghao, Research Fellow, China Center for Contemporary World Studies US Members • Mathew Burrows, former Counselor, US National Intelligence Council; Director, Strategic Foresight Initiative, Brent Scowcroft Center on International Security, Atlantic Council • Thomas Fingar, Oksenberg-Rohlen Distinguished Fellow, Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies, Stanford University • Banning Garrett, Strategic Foresight Senior Fellow for Innovation and Global Trends, Brent Scowcroft Center on International Security, Atlantic Council • Sherri Goodman, Senior Vice President, General Counsel, and Corporate Secretary, CNA • Barry Hughes, Professor and Director, Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures, Josef Korbel School of International Studies, University of Denver • Robert Manning, Senior Fellow, Brent Scowcroft Center on International Security, Atlantic Council • Paul Saffo, Consulting Professor, Stanford University; Senior Fellow, Strategic Foresight Initiative, Brent Scowcroft Center on International Security, Atlantic Council • Jonathan Woetzel, Director, McKinsey & Company • Casimir Yost, former Director, Strategic Futures Group, US National Intelligence Council; http://cusef.org.hk/wp-content/uploads/2014/05/05_eng.pdf)

Cooperation on climate change mitigation, adaptation, and consequence management. China-US cooperation will be increasingly critical to the global response to climate change. New scientific studies warn that the worst-case scenarios for climate change impacts are the most likely outcomes. Scientific assessments also maintain that anthropomorphic climate change is partly responsible for extreme weather events that the world is already experiencing at an increasing rate, from the floods in Pakistan and the heat wave in Russia to the melting glaciers and ice sheets and the “superstorm” Sandy that inflicted unprecedented destruction on New York and New Jersey. It is highly likely that global climate change will be a key issue in the coming two decades as the world faces increasing climate-induced humanitarian disasters and infrastructure destruction requiring immediate and expensive relief as well as costly, long-term adaptation. Climate change likely will increase social and political instability in many areas of the world, including emerging economies and developed countries. It also will likely renew political pressure for emissions reductions, especially by China and the United States, the world’s two biggest emitters. China-US cooperation in all these areas will be critical to whether the world cooperates and how effective any cooperation is in responding to the potentially existential threat posed by global climate change. The two countries also can build on decades of bilateral cooperation on energy and environment to seize opportunities for lucrative joint energy technology development that would substantially benefit Chinese and US businesses as well as lower costs and widely disseminate clean energy technologies.

Cooperation mitigates a litany of impacts – climate change, regional instability, and resource depletion


Stephen J. Hadley et al in 2013 Former US National Security Advisor to President George W. Bush James L. Jones Former US National Security Advisor to President Barack Obama Brent Scowcroft Former US National Security Advisor to Presidents Gerald Ford and George H.W. Bush TANG Jiaxuan Former State Counselor, People’s Republic of China LI Zhaoxing Former Foreign Minister, People’s Republic of China TUNG Chee Hwa Former Chief Executive, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, People’s Republic of China, China-US Cooperation: Key to the Global Future, China-US Joint Working Group , http://cusef.org.hk/wp-content/uploads/2014/05/05_eng.pdf

Forces and megatrends that are visible but not well understood today will shape the futures of people everywhere. The list includes consequences of globalization that increase prosperity but also increase demand for water, food, and energy.. It also includes demographic change and effects of climate change that will intensify the consequences of other megatrends and make them more difficult to manage. Some of the megatrends and the way they interact will threaten social and political stability unless managed effectively. All have profound implications for governance and global stability. How effectively governments meet and manage these challenges in the next ten to twenty years will determine how beneficial or detrimental they will be for our countries and our children. Successfully navigating the turbulent waters ahead will require understanding the challenges we face and foresight about the implications of alternative paths. Our common goal must be to avert or ameliorate negative outcomes, and to maximize the chances of achieving desirable outcomes. To accomplish this goal, China and the United States must establish and draw on a continuing dialogue on the evolution, implications, and possible policy responses to the most consequential megatrends, key uncertainties, and disruptive change. The framework and policy recommendations of this report seek to jumpstart that process by suggesting mechanisms for collaboration that begin bilaterally but eventually include other nations critical to finding paths to a better future for all.

Competitive relationships harm US China cooperation on warming


Lewis 2011 (Joanna Lewis is Associate Professor of Science, Technology and International Affairs, Georgetown University “The State of U.S.-China Relations on Climate Change: Examining the Bilateral and Multilateral Relationship” Published: Presented at the International Studies Association Annual Convention Montreal, Canada March 2011; https://www.wilsoncenter.org/sites/default/files/Feature%20Article%20The%20State%20of%20U.S.-China%20Relations%20on%20Climate%20Change.pdf; PG: 16 – 17)

Looking at the list of past and ongoing clean energy cooperation efforts between the governmental, nongovernmental and private sector in China, it is clear that there has been quite a bit of activity. While the official governmental track is certainly not the only means of bilateral cooperation, nor is it always the most effective, it is clearly important for cooperation to occur through official as well as unofficial channels. Despite the long list of official bilateral agreements signed between the United States and China in the area of clean energy and climate change, there have been many challenges to following through on the successful implementation of agreed upon activities. Official bilateral cooperation has suffered in the past from a lack of consistent funding as well as from insufficient high-level political support and commitment. Cooperation is also hampered by the increasingly competitive relationship between the United State and China in the global economic marketplace.


Specific Relations solve warming best


Lewis 2011 (Joanna Lewis is Associate Professor of Science, Technology and International Affairs, Georgetown University “The State of U.S.-China Relations on Climate Change: Examining the Bilateral and Multilateral Relationship” Published: Presented at the International Studies Association Annual Convention Montreal, Canada March 2011; https://www.wilsoncenter.org/sites/default/files/Feature%20Article%20The%20State%20of%20U.S.-China%20Relations%20on%20Climate%20Change.pdf; PG: 24)

President Obama has called the relationship between the United States and China “as important as any bilateral relationship in the world” (White House, 2009a). From a U.S. perspective, it could be much simpler to work out a deal on climate change with China directly, and in doing so could ensure that it is on the same page with its major global trading partner and the world’s largest emitter. There are many commonalities in dealing with climate change that the United States and China face, as discussed previously, that lend to fruitful opportunities for collaboration. In addition, direct bilateral agreements eliminate some of the concerns about trust and transparency that emerge in larger groupings


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