Tampa Prep 2009-2010 Impact Defense File
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- AT: China Japan War
AT: China India WarNo risk of war – relations are resilient despite lots of reasons for conflict, China and India are bffls Jing-dong Yuan (director of the Nonproliferation Education Program at the Center for Non-proliferation Studies and an associate professor of international policy studies at the Monterey Institute of International Studies) 2007: The Dragon and the Elephant: Chinese-Indian Relations in the 21st Century. www.twq.com/07summer_yuan.pdf Despite unresolved territorial disputes, mutual suspicions over each other’s military buildup and strategic intent, potential economic competition, and the changing balance of power and realignments, China and India have enjoyed 10 years of mostly uninterrupted progress in their political, economic, and security relationship. President Hu Jintao’s November 2006 visit to India, the first such visit by a Chinese head of state in a decade, marked an important milestone in the bilateral relationship. During Hu’s visit, the two governments issued a joint statement highlighting a 10-point strategy to elevate the relationship and signed more than a dozen agreements to strengthen cooperation in trade, investment, energy, and cultural and educational exchanges. AT: China Japan WarNo Sino-Japanese conflict – Japanese cooperation on trade is key to China’s rise. Yang Bojiang (professor and director of the Institute for Japanese Studies at the China Institute of Contemporary International Relations (CICIR) in Beijing) 2006: Redefining Sino-Japanese Relations after Koizumi. http://www.twq.com/06autumn/docs/06autumn_yang.pdf Sino-Japanese cooperation on trade, investment, environmental pollution management, and energy efficiency are important for China’s social and economic development. Japanese Official Development Assistance projects in China started in the late 1970s, around the same time that China began its economic opening and reform policies, and played an important role in China’s initial success. Although Japan’s importance in Chinese foreign trade has decreased in recent years, Japan, as the second-largest economic power in the world, is still an important long-term international strategic resource for China’s peaceful rise. China, based on its development strategy, hopes to cooperate with Japan. Since the 2005 demonstrations, the Chinese government has repeatedly stated that it will not change its mutually beneficial and cooperative policy toward Japan and that it hopes to return to a healthy Sino-Japanese relationship soon. Yet, Chinese support for a Japanese role in international affairs hinges on a better understanding of Japan’s future strategy. An official Beijing-Tokyo dialogue would help each one understand the other’s positions. China and Japan have mixed histories regarding being the most powerful East Asian countries and also being humiliated and marginalized, which has left both with superiority and inferiority complexes. As a result, nationalism has a stronger influence on Sino-Japanese relations than Chinese relations with other countries. Furthermore, as Chinese society has become increasingly open, Beijing’s diplomatic decisionmakers have paid closer attention to public opinion. An official dialogue could help both countries manage these conflicting pressures by clarifying the problems and potential solutions. Bilateral cooperation and strong Sino-Japanese relations solves for stability --- mitigates risk of impact ISDP, 08 (Institute for Security and Defensive Policy, “Sino-Japanese Relations,” China Initiative, http://www.isdp.eu/programs-a-initiatives/china-initiative/sino-japanese-relations.html) Throughout history, the relationship between China and Japan has more often than not been marked by mistrust and animosity, or even violent conflict. Despite three decades of normalized bilateral relations, several past and present issues serve to complicate the relation between the two states. Since a positive and functioning relationship between China and Japan, the two great powers in Northeast Asia, in many ways is a prerequisite for peace and stability in the region, a souring bilateral relationship is not only problematic for the states involved, but has implications for neighboring states and the international community at large. Against this background, it has become increasingly important to understand, identify and implement measures that can prevent and manage conflicts and disputes between these two states. This said, the Sino-Japanese relations have been on the mend since Shinzo Abe (安倍 晋三) assumed the Prime Minister's office in September 2006. His visit to China in October 2006 and the reciprocal visits of Chinese Prime Minister Wen Jiabao (温家宝) in April 2007 and President Hu Jintao in May 2008 facilitated the further thawing of bilateral relations under the framework of "mutually beneficial relationship based on common strategic relationship." A substantial number of additional events have indicated the continuation of the positive trend in the strengthening of the bilateral relations. As one example, in one attempt to initiate debate on the issue of historical perception on the 20th century Sino-Japanese relations, a joint committee of Chinese and Japanese historians was established in an effort to reach a certain understanding of each other´s perception of common history, mainly the atrocities from the Second World War. On the military side, the establishment of a hot-line in November 2007 and the port visits by the fleets represented important confidence building measures. Furthermore, China and Japan are in fact sustaining injured US dollar economy under current severe financial crisis. This may provide more opportunity for cooperation between the two countries. All of these bilateral efforts have been very positive. Directory: files -> documents documents -> North Mankato Taylor Library documents -> In the Red and Brown Water documents -> - documents -> I. Disaster Summary Sheet II. 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