Japan Aff Michigan



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AT: US-JPN Relations Bad



(___) American Japanese Relations Key to Asian Commitment

Auslin 4/15 Resident Scholar at the AEI [4/15/10, Speech by Michael, Institute for Public Policy Research Senate Committee on Foreign Relations, American Enterprise , Subcommittee on East Asia and the Pacific, http://www.aei.org/speech/100137;WBTR]
Japan will continue to play a major role in Asia over the next decades, as that region continues to be the engine of global economic growth. As it does so, the role of a democratic Japan should become increasingly important in Asia as democracies young and old continue to evolve, and as authoritarian and totalitarian regimes oppress their own people and threaten others. Japan cannot, of course, play this role by itself, and the United States must fully embrace its role as a Pacific nation, one inextricably tied to Asia, but most importantly, one with a vision for an Asia that is increasingly freer, more stable, and more prosperous. That means a renewed commitment to expending the human and materiel capital required to maintain our position in the Asia-Pacific region. As we look to the kind of Asia that we hope develops in the future, there is much that continues to commend Japan to the region's planners and peoples. Much in the same way, the U.S.-Japan relationship, plays a currently indispensable role in ensuring our country's commitment to the Asia-Pacific and in providing a necessary stabilizing force to powerful tides of nationalism, competition, and distrust in that region. Our relationship with Japan is indeed a cornerstone of the liberal international order that has marked the six decades since the end of the Second World War as among the most prosperous and generally peaceful in world

Japan-US Relations KT Stability, China Relations, Deterrence, Taiwan



Japan-US relations key to East Asian stability, China-Japan, and China-US relations, deterrence of Korean and Taiwanese conflict

Talmadge, ’10 (6/22/10, Eric, Associated Press, “US-Japan security pact turns 50, faces new strains,” http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/article/ALeqM5islkPj_84APsquFWNdqr2kuTwDQwD9GG68080)
Uncertainty over a Marine base and plans to move thousands of U.S. troops to Guam are straining a post-World War II security alliance Japan and the United States set 50 years ago, but Tokyo's new leader said Tuesday he stands behind the pact. Prime Minister Naoto Kan said he sees the arrangement as a crucial means of maintaining the balance of power in Asia, where the economic and military rise of China is looming large, and vowed to stand behind it despite recent disputes with Washington. "Keeping our alliance with the United States contributes to peace in the region," Kan said in a televised question-and-answer session with other party leaders. "Stability helps the U.S.-Japan relationship, and that between China and Japan and, in turn, China and the United States." The U.S.-Japan alliance, formalized over violent protests in 1960, provides for the defense of Japan while assuring the U.S. has regional bases that serve as a significant deterrent to hostilities over the Korean Peninsula or Taiwan.

Alliance KT Deterrence of NK, China



US-Japan security alliance key to solving North Korean threat and an aggressive China

The Daily Yomiuri (Tokyo), 6/20 (6/20/10, The Daily Yomiuri (Tokyo), “Talks Needed to Boost Japan-US Alliance”, http://www.lexisnexis.com.proxy.lib.umich.edu/us/lnacademic/results/docview/docview.do?docLinkInd=true&risb=21_T9604571746&format=GNBFI&sort=BOOLEAN&startDocNo=1&resultsUrlKey=29_T9604571749&cisb=22_T9604571748&treeMax=true&treeWidth=0&csi=145202&docNo=1)
Japan and the United States should continually hold strategic dialogues. How can the two nations realize stability on the Korean Peninsula and persuade China to act responsibly as a major power politically and economically? How should Japan and the United States cooperate with each other and other nations to tackle such issues as global warming, the war on terrorism and disarmament? By deepening discussions on such issues and by Japan playing more active roles in the international community, the nation could build an even stronger alliance with the United States. Security is the core of the bilateral alliance. North Korea has been developing nuclear missiles and sank a South Korean patrol vessel in March. China has rapidly been building up and modernizing its military. The Chinese Navy is expanding its operations to wider areas, causing friction with neighboring nations. Japan cannot be so optimistic about its security environment. Fully preparing for emergencies through close cooperation between the Self-Defense Forces and U.S. forces in peacetime will ultimately serve as a deterrence against such emergencies. The alliance sometimes is compared to riding a bicycle: The inertia of a bicycle will carry it forward, but unless we pedal, the bike will eventually slow down and fall. To maintain the alliance, it is vital for the two nations to set common goals and work hard together to achieve them. It is also indispensable to make ceaseless efforts to settle pending issues one by one. It is not enough to merely chant, "The Japan-U.S. alliance is the foundation of Japan's diplomacy."
Strong US-Japan ties are key to stabilizing Korea

Armitage, 2/2/04

(Richard, Deputy Secretary of State, “Armitage Praises Japan’s Increasing Role in Global Security,” State Department, pg online @ lexis //ag)



These are the stakes and the potential results of acting decisively on behalf of peace. That is why the world can welcome the more active leadership role that Japan has taken and continues to take, not just in the global war against terrorism, but also closer to home in the Asia-Pacific region. Japan and the United States certainly share an interest in keeping the relationship between Taiwan and China on an even keel, and more generally in helping to shape what sort of country China will choose to be in this century. In the case of North Korea, Japan is already playing an important role. North Korea is a country that supports itself largely through counterfeiting, smuggling, trading in drugs and missiles and other weapons, a pattern of behavior that has included the cruel abductions of Japanese citizens as well as nuclear threats. It is a dangerous and unstable situation in one of the most dynamic and heavily populated regions in the world, and unfortunately all of the stopgap measures we tried in the past to end North Korea's nuclear programs failed. But the stakes are too high. We simply cannot allow the situation to continue to slide in the wrong direction. As President Bush said during the recent State of the Union address, "We are committed to keeping the most dangerous weapons out of the hands of the most dangerous regimes." President Bush has made it very clear that he believes diplomacy can work in this instance, and he has indicated the United States is willing to document security assurances for North Korea in a multilateral context if North Korea will completely dismantle its nuclear programs in a way that is irreversible as well as verifiable.

And, North Korea is trying to obtain specialty missile materials, putting it on the brink of prolif now

Busch, 7/29/09

(Jason, Director of MetalMiner, “Shot Down – China Intercepts North Korea Bound Vanadium Shipment,” MetalMiner, Sourcing and trading intelligence for global metal markets, pg online @ http://agmetalminer.com/2009/07/29/shot-down-china-intercepts-north-korea-bound-vanadium-shipment/ //ag)

Yesterday, a story hit the Reuter’s wire that China had intercepted over 150 pounds of vanadium destined for North Korea. China customs agents found the material at a border crossing tucked under fruit in a produce truck, local reporters suggest. Vanadium, a rare earth metal, is banned from North Korea thanks to U.N. Security Council sanctions “meant to cut off the North’s arms trade,” according to Reuters. Besides being one of the hardest metals, what is Vanadium and why should we care about keeping it out of North Korea’s hands?  According to the Vanadium Producers Reclaimers Organization, the metal is a critical enabler of lightweight weapons systems when alloyed with steel (vs. conventional carbon steels). The association suggests that vanadium “enables higher strength steel – allowing up to a 40% reduction in mass for equivalent strength in equipment and structures.” Today, “Some quantity of vanadium is used in virtually every structural application in the military where steel products are employed.  For instance, The US military has been using vanadium to either increase armor or reduce the weight of current combat vehicles, tactical vehicles, tactical bridges, material handling equipment, aircraft, watercraft, rail, trailers, steel structures, and virtually every application involving the use of steel.”  When it comes to advanced weapons applications, vanadium, when alloyed with titanium, is commonly used in nuclear applications, missile casings and jet engines. In other words, not only is it a metal that North Korea needs to build and sustain its own military industrial complex for domestic defense purposes, it’s an essential metal required for numerous applications in North Korea’s missile and nuclear weapons proliferation efforts.  One wonders how much of the material China knowingly (or unknowingly) lets across its borders and why, in this case, they opted to announce the interception of it.

South Korea won’t back down this time around – ensures escalation

AFP, 6/5/09

(“S. Korea to re-enact naval battle amid tensions,” pg online @ http://www.google.com/hostednews/afp/article/ALeqM5iJ7-I6CqAa2pFx4vjBHQZhN7jCQQ)

A multinational investigation concluded last month that a North Korean submarine torpedoed the Cheonan corvette in the Yellow Sea on March 26, killing 46 sailors. North Korea denies involvement and says reprisals announced by the South could trigger war. The South is seeking United Nations condemnation of its communist neighbour. On Monday it presented the findings of the investigation to Security Council members. The council warned both sides against any actions that could escalate regional tension. In Seoul, South Korea's navy chief promised stern retaliation for any new naval provocation by the North. "If North Korean troops stage a provocation again, we must turn the site of the provocation into their grave," Admiral Kim Sung-Chan told naval personnel at a ceremony marking the 11th anniversary of a deadly maritime clash. In the clash along the Yellow Sea border, the first naval battle since the Korean War, a North Korean boat with an estimated 20 sailors aboard was sunk.

North Korea will respond by initiating an all out war

GSN, 6/4/10

(Global Security Newswire, “War Possible At Any Time, North Korea Says,” pg online @ http://www.globalsecuritynewswire.org/gsn/nw_20100604_1842.php)



A high-ranking North Korean diplomat said Wednesday that tensions on the Korean Peninsula are so high that "all-out war" could break out at any time, the Associated Press reported (see GSN, June 3). "The present situation of the Korean Peninsula is so grave that a war may break out any moment," Ri Jang Gon, deputy envoy to the United Nations in Geneva, told the 65-nation Conference on Disarmament. South Korea accused the North late last month of attacking and sinking one of its warships on March 26, an action that killed 46 sailors. Pyongyang has denied any involvement in the incident, refuting the findings issued by a multinational probe of the incident. Ri blamed the present state of tensions on South Korea and the United States and said a retaliatory military strike or additional U.N. Security Council sanctions in response to the sinking of the Cheonan would lead Pyongyang to take "tough measures including all-out war." Pyongyang has repeatedly used that language as a threat aimed at staving off punishment for the incident.

Causes nuclear attack on the U.S.

Layne, 06 – professor of government at Texas A & M University (Christopher, The Peace of Illusions: American Grand Strategy from 1940 to the Present, p. 169)

Rather than being instruments of regional pacification, today America's alliances are transmission belts for war that ensure that the U.S. would be embroiled in Eurasian wars. In deciding whether to go war in Eurasia, the United States should not allow its hands to be tied in advance. For example, a non great power war on the Korean Peninsula even if nuclear weapons were not involved would be very costly. The dangers of being entangled in a great power war in Eurasia, of course, are even greater, and could expose the American homeland to nuclear attack. An offshore balancing grand strat­egy would extricate the United States from the danger of being entrapped in Eurasian conflicts by its alliance commitments.





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